Strong Storm Systems on the Coasts & the Developing Cycling Weather Pattern
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While no forecasting system is perfect, the LRC (Lezak Recurring Cycle) provides the data, structure, and technology to make Weather 20/20 the only known method in meteorology capable of predicting—weeks to months in advance—when and where severe weather will occur, where tropical systems will form, and where winter storms will develop.
We’re now at a pivotal moment in the developing cycling weather pattern that will define the year ahead. I’m not sure I want to call this Exhibit A, but take a look at the impressive storm system hitting Southern California this morning—you can clearly see the circulation centered just offshore.
They are already experiencing torrential downpours and the snow levels have gone a bit lower than I previously thought, down to 5,500 feet:
This part of the weather pattern will be one to watch—it will cycle back many times in the year ahead. So, when we’re looking at another major storm hitting the West Coast a few weeks from now, don’t be surprised when I show you the comparison to this exact setup.
At the same time, there’s also a storm system off the East Coast, with a broad cloud shield stretching from the U.S./Canada border southward into northern Oklahoma, as you can see in the image below.
This evolving setup is already giving us valuable clues about how the new LRC is forming and how the jet stream is organizing across North America.
Last week, I shared the satellite image from October 7th (shown in the slide above) that captured two tropical systems— Tropical Storm Jerry, which quickly dissipated, and Major Hurricane Priscilla, which helped transport tropical moisture across the western United States.
The first 10 days of this year’s new LRC have already produced an interesting precipitation pattern, as you can see in the map below. These early signals are beginning to reveal how the new cycling pattern is setting up — and where the storm energy and moisture channels may focus in the months ahead, but let’s not make any major conclusions yet.
Remember
We’re only about 10 days into the beginning of this year’s LRC. Imagine if this turns out to be a longer cycle—around 50 days or so. That means we still have roughly 40 more days to observe before drawing any major conclusions. If the cycle is closer to 60 days, then that means we have 50 more days to learn a lot more. So, as I always say, “let’s have a lot of patience”.
The pattern is still transitioning from last year’s cycle into the new one, and this is the period when the atmosphere begins to organize itself into the structure that will drive our weather for the year ahead.