A winter storm warning has been issued across north-central North Dakota through SE ND, into SW Minnesota. The storm warning goes into effect at 9:00 PM this evening and stretches until midnight Friday night.
Snow enters the area tonight, which will last through the overnight period through Friday. Snow will taper off in the northern valley through Friday afternoon and Friday evening in the southern valley.
Expect difficult travel for your Friday morning and evening commute with reduced visibility for drifting/blowing snow, heavy snowfall at times, slippery and snow-covered roads.
Winds today will be from the north 5-15 gusting to 20 mph with falling temperatures into the teens under cloudy conditions.
Snow enters the region overnight around midnight...earlier in central/north-central ND closer to 8/9:00 PM. Winds will be from the NNE, turning to the ESE between 5-15 mph, gusting up to 25 mph.
Snow continues through Friday, tapering off in the afternoon in the northern valley. In the southern valley, Friday evening. Temperatures fall through the teens Friday afternoon with difficult traveling conditions throughout the day. Wind will be between 15-25 mph from the ENE.
We're expecting a band of 6-10+ inches of snow to develop within the winter storm warning area. This looks to impact just west of the Fargo/Moorhead metro. However, as Fargo lies right on the fringe of the snow gradient (as well as the NE cut off of the warning area), a slight 25-50 mile shift in the storm track will affect snow totals fairly drastically.
Attached below is the Nation Blend of Models of expected snowfall. Most models have been holding/trending the higher snowfall amounts in the F/M metro just west, so I attached a second and third snowfall model from two of the short-range models that show this westward trend among other models.
I suspect the F/M metro will fall closer to 4-6" of snow, but we will monitor this winter storm through the day and deliver updates as they become available!