Many of you have been asking, and I want to thank you for being patient while I compiled this calendar of target dates for storms. I've broken down the following three months into July, week by week when I expect storm systems to track into our area according to the LRC. You may be discouraged when you see the maps due to the number of circled dates, but keep in mind that these are simple target days. This doesn't necessarily mean that all of these dates will be complete washouts or rain all day!
Instead, think back to when we get bad weather. Most of the day is nice, and then we get a line of storms or clusters of storms to form in the afternoon/evening or overnight. The exact timing and intensities of these potential storms will remain uncertain until we begin to see them appearing on our numerical computer models. The track of the storms can be estimated, but the exact path will also remain uncertain until the event. A couple could slide just out of our area, similar to the winter we just had. However, the upper-level waves that support these storm systems will likely reappear in our neck of the woods on these days.
Let us break it down now. Attached below are my outlooks for May, June, and July according to the LRC. I'm calling for near to just above-average temperatures this summer. I suspect a brief warm-up in the middle of May, followed by a cooler end to May. Temperatures should rise quickly to start off June into the middle of the month, then retreat more towards average in the second half into July. I suspect a heatwave in the back half of July into early August and a second wave in the middle of August, followed by a steady decline in temperatures to more average into September. Attached below is a temperature outlook for North Dakota. Precipitation will fall closer to average in the western half of the State and above average in the eastern half of North Dakota into Minnesota. If you would like a more detailed LRC outlook for your specific area, you can subscribe to Gary's LRC new letter here at https://weather2020.substack.com/ Gary is the CEO of Weather2020 and the founder of the LRC. He is offering a great discounted offer of $300.00/year and a free version.
If you missed our LRC Seasonal Outlook you can watch it here where we touch into September! https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fdtqqfeoxk4